But then I look at the smart money (our composite interviews with Vegas and online books has about 58 percent of the money on the Titans) and the Titans' new-look offense (I'm a Dion Lewis fan), and I'm going Titans on this one. The last time Ryan Tannehill and Adam Gase were together in 2016, Tannehill was getting MVP talk (!!!) at one point and the Dolphins were 6-1 SU in his home starts, where they averaged 27 points per game.Īnd oh yeah, Marcus Mariotta threw 11 picks to just 5 TDs in road games in 2017. The Titans are 9-21 against the spread in their last 30 road games. The Dolphins are 42-18 straight up in their last 60 September home games. The Dolphins +1.5 at home against the Titans is one of those games that when you look at the history alone, it looks like the Fish are a good underdog pick. And there is history to back it up, as the Redskins are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against the Cards. The smart money is moving late to the Redskins, both in total money wagered and the total volume of wagers. This is the kind of matchup where if Smith can just be an efficient game manager and accurate passer, the Cardinals have many holes that can lead to self-inflicted wounds. Add Adrian Peterson to the mix and it speaks to a more run-heavy offense and far less chances being taken by a scrambling risktaker QB like Kirk Cousins. A lot of the optimism for the Redskins centers around a growing sentiment that Alex Smith is a great fit for a Redskins team that has an outstanding offensive line. This line is moving to a pick 'em with many online sportsbooks and there's a reason.
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